Scenario-Building for Risk Analysis - Learn the Techniques by Participating in This Exercise
Scenario-building is a technique for identifying the potential alternative outcomes of trends and crises, from the future of the EU to the endgame in the Syria war. Using a template developed by Royal Dutch Shell, participants in this workshop are invited to take part in a scenario-building exercise as an introduction to a technique they may then employ in other settings.
Guest presenter Prof Rosemary Hollis used scenario-building with different interlocutors from the Middle East when she was working at the 'think tank' Chatham House, and then with students at City, University of London. The principle value lies in preparing participants to plan for a range of possible futures and avoid becoming wedded to their preferred one.
Professor Hollis is a British political scientist. She is a professor of Middle East Policy Studies at City, University of London, and she is renowned for her expertise and scholarship on the relations between the European Union, the United Kingdom and the United States with the Middle East. She was formerly Research Director at Chatham House.
The workshop is part of our workshop series: “The Open Academic: Innovative Ways of Engaging in the Public Sphere”